Saturday, June 21, 2025

INCREASED RISK TO NAVIGATION IN THE STRAIT OF HORMUZ

 Filenews 21 June 2025



The international shipping industry is on heightened alert for the Strait of Hormuz, amid intensifying Iranian rhetoric, military mobility in the Middle East, and multiple incidents of GPS interference and spoofing affecting ship operations in the region.

Tehran has stepped up threats of targeted actions against freedom of navigation in the event of a military escalation with Israel. At the same time, it characterizes any presence of foreign forces as a "legitimate target", while international maritime organizations express concern about organized destabilization efforts.

Multiple incidents of interference and false GPS signals

The phenomena of GPS interference and misleading navigation indicators are now permanent. Ships report loss of signal or false position data, with the cases now perceived as part of a systematic confusion strategy.

Avoidance guidelines and increased insurance charges

The JMIC Maritime Information Center has issued continuous instructions to avoid Iranian waters, sail near Oman, and enhance radar and optical observation. Shipping companies are strengthening safety protocols, while tanker fares and insurance charges are increasing significantly, reflecting increased risk.

Recent tanker accident reinforces concern

The collision of two tankers on 17 June at the entrance to the Straits, although attributed to navigation rather than hostile action, highlighted the fragile situation in the region. The competent services speak of a high-risk operational environment, where a mistake or provocation can have disproportionate consequences.

Energy market and international security on red alert

The price of Brent is over $77, while Shell's CEO warned that a blockade of the Strait would have a huge impact on global trade and security of supply. Forecasts raise the cost per barrel even above $120 in the event of a disruption of maritime transit.

Enhanced surveillance by Western military forces
The US, UK and EMASoH mission continue surveillance missions without direct involvement, with increased use of drones and drones in the region.

Continuous vigilance by the Greek shipping fleet

Greece, with a strong maritime presence in the Persian Gulf, is closely monitoring developments. Greek shipping companies assess the risk for each crossing on a daily basis, while requests for safety advisory services on Greek ships are increasing.

Hybrid crisis with global implications

The situation has not evolved into a direct military conflict, but the hybrid crisis – with geopolitical, technological and strategic parameters – is turning navigation in the Strait of Hormuz into a dangerous operational challenge with international implications.

Capital.gr