Filenews 8 April 2021
Britain will reach the limit of herd immunity against coronavirus next Monday, according to a computer model from University College London (UCL) revealed by the Daily Telegraph.
The London University estimates that the proportion of people who have developed antibodies against COVID-19 either through vaccination or due to their previous infection with the virus will reach 73.4% on 12 April.
This calculation, however, differs significantly from Imperial College London's forecast of 34% of the population's immunity by the end of March.
Official calculations, from the Office for National Statistics based on regular sampling, said that in the week to 14 March 54% of the population of England had antibodies against the coronavirus. The corresponding figures were slightly lower for Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland.
Since then the vaccine has been given to a further 7.1 million people and confirmed cases have increased by almost 100,000.
The Telegraph reports that there will also have been more cases of asymptomatic vectors, people who have developed antibodies due to other coronaviruses and citizens with immunity through a large amount of so-called T-lymphocytes, which are not detected in antigen tests.
Professor Carl Friston from UCL told the Telegraph that the collective immunity rate of around 70% is reasonable considering that more than 50% of the adult population has been vaccinated, that around 42% of people have been exposed to the coronavirus and that 10% have pre-existing immunity.
Source: eyenews/CYPE
